You are here

RP1023: Forecasting and home energy analysis in residential energy management solutions

Project leader name: 
Associate Professor Alistair Sproul
Project status: 
Complete
Project period: 
06/2015 to 06/2018

The project will develop algorithms for a customer-focussed software solution that interprets energy supply and demand at the system level (focussing on residential, but applicable also to small commercial). Interpreting the complex relationship between cost, supply and load along with accurate data and analytics will enable end users to proactively manage demand. The algorithms will take local load, weather and energy generation inputs and automate the analysis of the electricity production and consumption.

Publications related to this project

CRCLCL Presentations

This presentation investigates the value of using forecast variables from multiple vertical layers of NWP as machine learning inputs in improving the accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts.

Peer Reviewed Research Publications

This paper reviews the most recent methods and techniques for using smart meter data such as forecasting, clustering, classification and optimisation. 

News Article

Australian rooftop solar is now at a crossroads – but it’s all positive. New technologies mean big data can be gathered from systems so that performance can be monitored and alerts raised if problems occur.

Peer Reviewed Research Publications

This paper analyses the impacts of household electricity load consumption profile and PV size on PV self-consumption.

CRCLCL Presentations

Inspired by the advancements in larger scale load forecasting, this paper proposes a novel forecast method for individual household electricity loads.

In this paper, models which predominantly use smart meter data alongside with weather variables, or smart meter based models (SMBM), are implemented to forecast individual household loads. Well-known machine learning models such as artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM)...

Peer Reviewed Research Publications
This paper presents a review of different electricity load forecasting models with a particular focus on regression models, discussing different applications, most commonly used regression variables and methods to improve the performance and accuracy of the models.
CRCLCL Project Posters
Student Poster – Participants Annual Forum 2017 - Bibek Joshi EVALUATION AND IMPROVEMENT OF AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY’S SOLAR IRRADIANCE FORECASTS
CRCLCL Project Posters
Student Poster – Participants Annual Forum 2017 - Baran Yildiz FORECASTING & HOME ENERGY ANALYSIS IN RESIDENTIAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
CRCLCL Project Posters
Student poster - Participants Annual Forum 2016 - Baran Yildiz Forecasting & home energy analysis in residential energy management solutions
CRCLCL Project Posters

Student Poster – Participants Annual Forum 2015 – Baran Yildiz

Residential and small commercial electricity load forecasting